Real Valladolid vs CD Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 2
VAD
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 0
REC
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
VAD
2 - 0
SAB
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 2
VAD
37%
26%
38%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 1
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
ALM
15%
23%
62%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
FCB
24%
26%
51%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ELC
2 - 3
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 3
CEL
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 2
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |