De Valk vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
68.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Valk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
DON
4 - 1
DEV
83%
12%
6%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TIE
1 - 0
DEV
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DEV
1 - 1
DEU
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
UDI
1 - 1
DEV
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
DEV
2 - 1
GRO
17%
21%
63%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
GEM
7 - 2
AWC
86%
11%
4%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DEU
2 - 3
GEM
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GEM
1 - 2
UDI
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GEM
0 - 3
OSS
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
DOS
2 - 2
GEM
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |