De Valk vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
63.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Valk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 2
DEV
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DEV
0 - 2
RKS
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BLA
5 - 1
DEV
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
OJC
3 - 0
DEV
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
DEV
1 - 2
SCH
27%
24%
49%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GEM
0 - 2
OJC
48%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SCH
2 - 5
GEM
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GEM
6 - 1
GRO
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
VEN
0 - 1
GEM
36%
24%
39%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GEM
1 - 1
DON
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |