Valenzana Calcio vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
61.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenzana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
OLB
35%
29%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 0
VAL
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 1
ACS
30%
26%
44%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACR
1 - 0
VAL
59%
23%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 0
FSD
33%
29%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SPE
2 - 0
PRO
74%
18%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
PAV
2 - 0
SPE
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SPE
1 - 2
ACR
70%
19%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACM
3 - 1
SPE
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SPE
1 - 1
OLB
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |