Valentine Phoenix vs Adamstown Rosebuds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+162%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
8º
8º
9
8º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valentine Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
LAM
9%
18%
74%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 0
VAL
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
WBE
1 - 0
VAL
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
EDG
3 - 0
VAL
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
CHU
31%
21%
48%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Adamstown Rosebuds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
WBE
6 - 0
ADR
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ADR
0 - 4
EDG
8%
14%
78%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CHU
6 - 0
ADR
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
NLE
2 - 1
ADR
44%
21%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ADR
1 - 1
LAK
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |