Valenciennes vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 0
VAL
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 2
LYO
23%
24%
53%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MPL
0 - 0
VAL
52%
26%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 3
AJA
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ETG
0 - 1
VAL
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NAN
1 - 0
GUI
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
NAN
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NAN
0 - 0
GIR
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NAN
2 - 1
MPL
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LIL
0 - 0
NAN
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |