Valenciennes vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 0
DIJ
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 1
VAL
50%
27%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 0
PAU
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
QUE
1 - 1
VAL
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 3
TFC
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAE
4 - 1
TFC
17%
25%
58%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DIJ
1 - 0
CAE
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
BAS
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PAU
1 - 0
CAE
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAE
4 - 0
NÎM
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |