Valenciennes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
REN
1 - 1
VAL
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
VAL
54%
24%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
GIR
2 - 1
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
GUI
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
NAN
2 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
ETG
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
MPL
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 1
BAS
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LIL
2 - 1
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 3
LYO
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |