Valencia Mestalla vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
GAV
0 - 2
VAL
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
VAL
1 - 2
ALI
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
MLL
3 - 3
VAL
47%
26%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
VAL
1 - 0
CEM
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
FCB
4 - 0
VAL
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
CAS
1 - 2
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAS
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
CAS
3 - 1
GRA
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
HOS
0 - 0
CAS
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAB
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |