Valencia de Leogane vs Baltimore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
23.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia de Leogane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
VAL
35%
30%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 0
DON
48%
30%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 1
ASM
48%
30%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
BOY
0 - 0
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
POR
3 - 4
VAL
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAV
47%
32%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
VIC
2 - 0
BAL
49%
29%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
PET
40%
31%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DON
0 - 0
BAL
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
FIC
1 - 2
BAL
53%
28%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |