Valencia de Leogane vs Mirebalais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
16.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia de Leogane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
AIG
40%
31%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 0
VAL
35%
31%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
VIC
43%
32%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
FIC
1 - 2
VAL
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
DON
47%
32%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mirebalais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
TEM
30%
33%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
DON
0 - 0
ASM
45%
30%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ASM
2 - 1
AIG
27%
32%
41%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 0
ASM
44%
32%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 0
CAV
38%
34%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |