Valencia de Leogane vs Carrefour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
30%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
24.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia de Leogane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 0
ASM
43%
31%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
AME
5 - 2
VAL
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
VAL
44%
30%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAV
48%
30%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 0
VAL
49%
27%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carrefour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
AIG
1 - 0
ASC
46%
30%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
ASC
0 - 0
TEM
42%
29%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ASC
0 - 0
AME
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
CAP
2 - 0
ASC
44%
30%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ASC
0 - 0
VIC
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |