Valencia vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 3
VCF
34%
27%
40%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VCF
2 - 1
VAD
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
ATM
1 - 1
VCF
55%
24%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
VCF
3 - 0
BET
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ATH
1 - 0
VCF
34%
26%
40%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MAL
1 - 0
OSA
59%
23%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
BVB
3 - 2
MAL
68%
19%
12%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
RSO
4 - 2
MAL
39%
27%
35%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
MAL
0 - 0
BVB
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
RAY
1 - 3
MAL
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |