LaLiga Round 31

Valencia vs Málaga analysis

Valencia Málaga
92 ELO 86
-4.9% Tilt -10.4%
50º General ELO ranking 652º
11º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
67.5%
Valencia
20.2%
Draw
12.3%
Málaga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
Valencia
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.3%
Win probability
Málaga
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Valencia
+4%
-1%
Málaga

ELO progression

Valencia
Málaga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2005
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
2 - 2
Valencia
VCF
35%
28%
37%
92 87 5 0
20 Mar. 2005
VCF
Valencia
3 - 1
Getafe
GET
74%
18%
9%
92 82 10 0
13 Mar. 2005
ATM
Atlético
1 - 0
Valencia
VCF
35%
28%
37%
92 88 4 0
05 Mar. 2005
VCF
Valencia
1 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
38%
26%
37%
92 93 1 0
02 Mar. 2005
SEV
Sevilla
2 - 2
Valencia
VCF
40%
28%
33%
92 89 3 0

Matches

Málaga
Málaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 2005
MAL
Málaga
1 - 1
Getafe
GET
63%
21%
15%
86 82 4 0
20 Mar. 2005
RMA
Real Madrid
1 - 0
Málaga
MAL
79%
14%
7%
86 92 6 0
12 Mar. 2005
MAL
Málaga
1 - 2
Real Betis
BET
40%
26%
34%
87 89 2 -1
06 Mar. 2005
DEP
RC Deportivo
1 - 0
Málaga
MAL
65%
20%
14%
87 90 3 0
02 Mar. 2005
MAL
Málaga
1 - 0
Athletic
ATH
38%
26%
36%
86 89 3 +1