Valencia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 1
VCF
27%
26%
47%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
VCF
4 - 3
MAL
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
VCF
2 - 0
DEP
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
LEV
0 - 1
VCF
22%
25%
53%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 2
VCF
46%
26%
28%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
HER
0 - 3
FCB
8%
16%
76%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
ATH
3 - 0
HER
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 0
HER
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2011 |
HER
4 - 1
ATM
31%
25%
45%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
MLL
3 - 0
HER
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |