Valencia vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
REC
4 - 3
VCF
38%
29%
33%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
FCB
3 - 1
VCF
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
VCF
1 - 0
BUR
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1979 |
VCF
4 - 1
RSO
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
ATH
2 - 0
VCF
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 0
RAC
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
CEL
1 - 1
RMA
24%
26%
51%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
SEV
1 - 0
CEL
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 1
RAY
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
RSO
1 - 0
CEL
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |