Valencia vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
LEV
2 - 1
VCF
45%
26%
29%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MLL
1 - 1
VCF
30%
26%
44%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAL
0 - 2
VCF
36%
26%
38%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
VCF
45%
26%
30%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VCF
1 - 0
GRA
82%
13%
5%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
ATH
2 - 2
RBS
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
ATH
3 - 1
OSA
56%
24%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
RSO
1 - 2
ATH
30%
27%
44%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
ATH
2 - 0
PSG
45%
26%
30%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ATH
1 - 1
VIL
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |