Valence vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
JUR
1 - 1
VAL
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CHA
5 - 0
VAL
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
SAI
79%
15%
7%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PON
3 - 4
VAL
14%
22%
64%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 0
VEN
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 6
OLY
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
AUX
0 - 1
VIL
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
SPI
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 1
AMN
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MOA
1 - 2
VIL
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |