Valence vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
SPI
1 - 0
VAL
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
VAL
2 - 1
PER
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
SPO
1 - 1
VAL
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
VAL
0 - 2
FCG
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
TFC
2 - 0
VAL
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
CHA
1 - 0
CHA
61%
25%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
CSL
0 - 1
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
CHA
0 - 0
RED
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
FCM
2 - 0
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CHA
2 - 0
STA
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |