Valence vs Bayonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2005 |
ROY
3 - 3
VAL
18%
25%
58%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
VAL
3 - 2
RAO
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
SÈT
1 - 1
VAL
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
RAC
0 - 0
VAL
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
VAL
1 - 1
FCL
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2005 |
BAY
0 - 1
FCR
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 2
BAY
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
BAY
0 - 1
ROM
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
BAY
0 - 1
CHE
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
CAN
1 - 0
BAY
60%
23%
16%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |