Valdinievole Montecatini vs San Donato Tavarnelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdinievole Montecatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ASA
3 - 0
VMO
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VMO
1 - 6
GHI
30%
24%
47%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
5 - 0
VMO
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VMO
0 - 1
SER
18%
20%
62%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FBC
5 - 1
VMO
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
San Donato Tavarnelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SDT
1 - 0
USR
24%
21%
55%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
SDT
0 - 0
OST
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SCA
2 - 0
SDT
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SDT
0 - 0
SES
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FCV
3 - 1
SDT
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |