Serie D Grupo A. Jor. 11

Vado FC vs Derthona analysis

Vado FC Derthona
44 ELO 37
-0.4% Tilt -28.6%
5258º General ELO ranking 8972º
147º Country ELO ranking 293º
ELO win probability
63.4%
Vado FC
20.6%
Draw
16%
Derthona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
Vado FC
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16%
Win probability
Derthona
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vado FC
+28%
-26%
Derthona

Points and table prediction

Vado FC
Their league position
Derthona
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
16º
41
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Alcione
79
79
100%
Chisola Calcio
72
72
100%
Città di Varese
66
66
100%
Vado FC
65
65
100%
RG Ticino
65
65
100%
AS Bra
65
65
100%
Ligorna
63
63
100%
Albenga
60
60
100%
ASD Asti
59
59
100%
Sanremese
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Fezzanese
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Gozzano
12º
45
45
12º
100%
Lavagnese
13º
44
44
13º
100%
Voghera
14º
42
42
14º
100%
Derthona
15º
41
41
15º
100%
Chieri
16º
39
39
16º
100%
Pinerolo
17º
37
37
17º
0%
Alba Calcio
18º
37
37
18º
0%
PDHAE
19º
22
22
19º
100%
Borgosesia
20º
22
22
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vado FC
Derthona
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Vado FC
Derthona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vado FC
Vado FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2023
SAN
Sanremese
0 - 0
Vado FC
VFC
39%
29%
32%
44 41 3 0
22 Oct. 2023
VFC
Vado FC
2 - 0
PDHAE
PDH
76%
16%
8%
43 30 13 +1
18 Oct. 2023
FEZ
Fezzanese
0 - 1
Vado FC
VFC
25%
27%
48%
42 32 10 +1
15 Oct. 2023
LIG
Ligorna
0 - 0
Vado FC
VFC
43%
28%
29%
42 41 1 0
08 Oct. 2023
VFC
Vado FC
2 - 1
Alba Calcio
ALB
85%
10%
5%
42 16 26 0

Matches

Derthona
Derthona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2023
DER
Derthona
0 - 1
AS Bra
ASD
31%
28%
41%
37 42 5 0
22 Oct. 2023
ALC
Alcione
1 - 1
Derthona
DER
74%
16%
10%
36 50 14 +1
15 Oct. 2023
DER
Derthona
3 - 2
Voghera
VOG
51%
22%
27%
36 29 7 0
08 Oct. 2023
LAV
Lavagnese
1 - 1
Derthona
DER
19%
20%
61%
36 22 14 0
04 Oct. 2023
DER
Derthona
2 - 1
Chisola Calcio
CCA
44%
23%
33%
35 33 2 +1
X