Copa Simón Bolívar . Semi-finals
Global 1-7
Vaca Díez vs Universitario de Vinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
57.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaca Díez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
VAC
3 - 2
HUA
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
HUA
2 - 1
VAC
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
HUA
2 - 0
VAC
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VAC
2 - 0
HUA
24%
24%
53%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +3 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VAC
1 - 0
SUC
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario de Vinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
UDV
3 - 2
CNS
78%
16%
6%
|
65 | 17 | 48 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CNS
0 - 1
UDV
11%
20%
69%
|
65 | 17 | 48 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
UDV
2 - 2
BER
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BER
0 - 3
UDV
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
FAT
1 - 2
UDV
13%
23%
64%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |