V-Varen Nagasaki vs Urawa Reds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
KAG
0 - 3
VVA
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VVA
0 - 0
FAG
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
OIT
0 - 0
VVA
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
VVA
2 - 2
BLA
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
THE
1 - 2
VVA
14%
22%
64%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
JUB
1 - 1
URA
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
URA
3 - 0
KYO
56%
25%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 4
URA
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
URA
2 - 1
YFM
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
KAW
3 - 1
URA
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |