V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sagamihara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
VVA
3 - 1
RYK
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
JEF
2 - 0
VVA
33%
26%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
ZWE
0 - 2
VVA
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BLA
1 - 1
VVA
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
KAA
3 - 1
VVA
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sagamihara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SAG
1 - 0
JEF
28%
28%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
JUB
1 - 1
SAG
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 1
SAG
70%
20%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SAG
2 - 1
VEN
18%
26%
56%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
SAG
0 - 0
TOC
38%
28%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |