Uxbridge vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uxbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ASH
2 - 0
UXB
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
FAR
2 - 2
UXB
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
UXB
0 - 2
ROY
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
UXB
1 - 2
HAR
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
UXB
50%
23%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
AYL
2 - 2
AFD
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
BED
2 - 1
AFD
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AFD
2 - 0
AYL
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AFD
1 - 7
HAM
13%
18%
68%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -3 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AFD
3 - 1
NOR
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |