UVCD Candean vs San Miguel C.F. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+104%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UVCD Candean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 1
ERI
16%
18%
66%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MOS
4 - 4
CAN
71%
17%
12%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 2
GUA
16%
21%
63%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 2
CAN
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 3
PRO
19%
20%
61%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Miguel C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MIG
3 - 2
LTA
75%
14%
11%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ERI
3 - 2
MIG
75%
14%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MIG
1 - 0
MON
65%
18%
18%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 1
MIG
62%
20%
19%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MIG
2 - 5
GON
30%
22%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |