Utrera vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BET
2 - 1
UTR
85%
11%
5%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 0
BAR
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ALG
2 - 1
UTR
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UTR
1 - 0
CAS
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CAB
0 - 0
UTR
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
ALC
40%
25%
34%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 3
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 1
ALC
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 2
ARC
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
SRO
0 - 3
ALC
27%
26%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |