Uthongathi vs Polokwane City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
47.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
8º
7º
54
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
54.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
79% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 9% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 91% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uthongathi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
UTH
0 - 3
CST
26%
23%
52%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UTH
2 - 2
BLA
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
UTH
0 - 1
PCR
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
PCF
1 - 2
UTH
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CST
1 - 0
UTH
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Polokwane City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BLA
0 - 1
POL
30%
26%
45%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
POL
0 - 0
BAR
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
POL
2 - 1
NBM
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
CST
1 - 3
POL
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
POL
2 - 1
JDR
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |