UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
24.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
UTC
0 - 0
MAN
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
UTC
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 1
UTC
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
UTC
2 - 3
COM
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
UTC
3 - 0
MEL
28%
29%
44%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
AUN
1 - 0
AYA
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MUN
0 - 0
AUN
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
AUN
0 - 0
CAN
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
SFC
0 - 2
AUN
22%
20%
58%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 2
AUN
57%
21%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |