USV Hercules vs AFC '34 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
JOS
3 - 1
USV
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
USV
1 - 2
CHA
24%
25%
51%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
USV
1 - 3
KFC
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
DEZ
1 - 0
USV
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
USV
3 - 1
NVC
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AFC '34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
AFC
5 - 0
FCB
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
DEK
2 - 2
AFC
29%
25%
47%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
AFC
1 - 1
BRE
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
KAM
1 - 0
AFC
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
JOS
1 - 3
AFC
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |