Halbturn vs Bad Sauerbrunn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
79.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+659%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
12º
16º
12º
40
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halbturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
5 - 1
HAL
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 4
PAR
6%
11%
83%
|
8 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 0
HAL
92%
6%
2%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 3
RIT
4%
9%
87%
|
6 | 32 | 26 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 0
HAL
90%
7%
2%
|
6 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Sauerbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 0
STM
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SPG
2 - 2
BAS
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
80%
13%
8%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
USV
2 - 3
BAS
36%
22%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
ASK
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |