Usuarbil FT vs Aurrera KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Usuarbil FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
AFT
5 - 0
USU
71%
18%
11%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
USU
0 - 1
ZAR
22%
23%
55%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
USU
61%
20%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
USU
1 - 0
CDT
18%
21%
61%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATX
4 - 0
USU
78%
15%
7%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 0
BTG
56%
24%
20%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
AFT
0 - 1
AUR
39%
27%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
3 - 2
HON
75%
17%
8%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ZAR
1 - 4
AUR
45%
26%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 1
HER
47%
26%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |