Uster vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
UST
1 - 2
BIN
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
FCB
1 - 2
UST
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
UST
2 - 3
WID
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
BAZ
1 - 0
UST
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
UST
5 - 2
ALT
60%
19%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
KIR
4 - 2
FCT
26%
21%
53%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
ZCS
1 - 2
FCT
9%
15%
77%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
ZUG
3 - 0
FCT
81%
13%
7%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
FCT
2 - 0
IBA
67%
18%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
FCC
2 - 0
FCT
36%
27%
38%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |