USM Bel Abbès vs Bordj Bou Arreridj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
33%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CAB
1 - 0
USM
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
USM
2 - 1
ALG
18%
28%
54%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
USM
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
USM
0 - 0
BEL
22%
29%
48%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
USM
1 - 0
ORA
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bordj Bou Arreridj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BBA
0 - 1
CHL
29%
30%
41%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ORA
0 - 0
BBA
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
BBA
1 - 1
USM
24%
30%
46%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
BBA
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BBA
2 - 1
TLE
34%
30%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |