USM Alger vs RC Bougaa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
USM
2 - 0
RIV
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
USM
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
USM
1 - 0
USB
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
USM
2 - 0
SET
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 1
USM
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
RC Bougaa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
USC
1 - 1
RCB
72%
17%
11%
|
9 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
RCB
2 - 0
NEF
15%
18%
67%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
RCB
91%
8%
1%
|
8 | 72 | 64 | 0 |