USM Alger vs NC Magra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
13º
4º
38
5º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 2
USM
30%
28%
42%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 3
USM
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
USM
2 - 0
ORA
54%
26%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
USM
2 - 1
SAO
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
CHL
0 - 1
USM
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NC Magra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
NCM
1 - 1
USK
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
NCM
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
NCM
0 - 1
SET
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
NCM
1 - 0
SOU
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
NCM
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |