USM Alger vs Khroub analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 1
USM
50%
26%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
USM
1 - 0
CAB
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
USM
3 - 0
USM
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
CHL
3 - 2
USM
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2011 |
USM
3 - 1
JSK
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Khroub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
KHR
1 - 1
ORA
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
TLE
1 - 1
KHR
51%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
USM
0 - 1
KHR
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
KHR
2 - 1
MCS
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 1
KHR
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |