USM Ait Melloul vs Chabab El Khayame analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Ait Melloul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RDT
0 - 2
USM
14%
21%
64%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
USM
4 - 0
ATB
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
USM
0 - 1
ASE
79%
14%
8%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
CAK
0 - 2
USM
16%
22%
63%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
USM
0 - 4
MOG
28%
25%
48%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Chabab El Khayame
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
AUA
1 - 2
KHA
37%
24%
38%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
NAM
0 - 1
KHA
39%
24%
37%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
KHA
0 - 2
WYD
12%
24%
64%
|
12 | 74 | 62 | 0 |