Nerostellati Pratola vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
70.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerostellati Pratola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 2
USN
78%
15%
7%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FRA
4 - 3
USN
82%
11%
7%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 3
FAB
88%
9%
4%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 2
FRA
47%
24%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FRA
4 - 3
USN
82%
11%
7%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 0
FRA
55%
26%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 1
GEL
48%
25%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |