Triestina vs Union Ripa Fenadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GIO
2 - 1
TRI
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
TRI
0 - 2
AVI
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 1
TRI
44%
25%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
TRI
1 - 1
NKK
81%
13%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
UAR
3 - 1
TRI
48%
23%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Union Ripa Fenadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
URF
1 - 1
MON
64%
20%
17%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
URF
3 - 0
NKK
73%
16%
12%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AVI
1 - 0
URF
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
URF
2 - 1
LEG
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SAC
1 - 1
URF
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |