Triestina vs Giana Erminio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 2
TRI
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
PRO
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
LEG
0 - 2
TRI
25%
25%
51%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
TRE
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
PER
0 - 1
TRI
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
GER
1 - 1
PAD
14%
22%
64%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SER
2 - 0
GER
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
GER
0 - 1
REN
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
GER
1 - 1
PER
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
GER
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |