Triestina vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
59%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
REG
3 - 1
TRI
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 1
RAV
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
VIS
1 - 2
TRI
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
TRI
3 - 0
UAR
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
VIR
3 - 2
TRI
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
PAD
1 - 2
RAV
67%
22%
11%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
PAD
2 - 0
UAR
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FER
1 - 2
PAD
11%
23%
66%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
PAD
1 - 0
CES
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
VIS
0 - 2
PAD
14%
24%
62%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |