Triestina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
SAM
0 - 6
TRI
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
BRE
1 - 1
TRI
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
TRI
0 - 2
VIC
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
TRI
0 - 0
VNZ
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
TRI
1 - 1
VNZ
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
ATL
1 - 1
JUV
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
INT
1 - 0
ATL
70%
18%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
ATL
0 - 1
BOL
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ATL
0 - 0
BRE
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
FIO
2 - 0
ATL
69%
16%
15%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |