Triestina vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
PIS
2 - 1
TRI
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 3
BOL
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SPE
0 - 1
TRI
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 1
LEC
30%
28%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CHI
3 - 0
TRI
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAN
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 1
PIS
63%
25%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
VIC
0 - 0
MAN
37%
29%
35%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MAN
4 - 0
MES
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
AVE
0 - 1
MAN
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |