Sassuolo vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
SSM
0 - 2
SAS
21%
26%
53%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
SAS
2 - 2
UNI
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
SAS
2 - 0
LEC
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
PRO
1 - 2
SAS
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ASS
2 - 2
SAS
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 0
VER
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
USF
0 - 0
NOV
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
USC
4 - 2
NOV
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 2
NOV
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAV
39%
29%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |