US Russi vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Russi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PDC
2 - 0
USR
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
USR
4 - 0
SDA
34%
25%
42%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ACC
1 - 1
USR
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
USR
2 - 1
PON
35%
26%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
ROV
2 - 2
USR
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 2
BFM
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 1
PON
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SDA
3 - 2
VIR
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 1
ACC
37%
25%
39%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
ASC
3 - 2
VIR
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |