Pro Vercelli vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
52.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
EMP
2 - 1
LEO
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 0
SPE
22%
27%
50%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEO
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 2
PAD
19%
26%
55%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
LEO
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
MOD
1 - 0
JUS
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 0
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EMP
4 - 2
MOD
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MOD
0 - 0
GRO
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CTT
0 - 3
MOD
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |