Poggibonsi vs Castel Rigone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SOR
3 - 1
USP
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
USP
0 - 1
TER
30%
26%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -3 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 4
USP
40%
26%
34%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
USP
1 - 1
CAS
36%
27%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
USP
2 - 1
FOL
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Rigone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 0
MES
31%
26%
43%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
RAA
4 - 1
CAS
9%
19%
73%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | -5 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
MAR
68%
19%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 1
CAS
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -3 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SCA
1 - 2
CAS
24%
25%
52%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |