US Maubeuge vs Compiègne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
13º
10º
36
8º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 45% |
|
Relegation
|
20.5% | 55% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Maubeuge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
LON
2 - 4
USM
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
IRI
0 - 0
USM
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
USM
1 - 0
LEN
21%
22%
58%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +3 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ESL
1 - 1
USM
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
USM
3 - 1
AMI
53%
24%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
IRI
20%
23%
57%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEN
6 - 0
COM
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
COM
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
COM
3 - 1
ESL
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AMI
2 - 0
COM
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |